Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Ponder this synoptic view ...

White South Africans have the economic hegemony in South Africa and thus they control most of the wealth. Should we worry about white South Africans leaving the country en masse? Maybe, but I have a better question and answer.
Question: What is worse than white South Africans leaving the country en masse?
Answer: Those white South Africans - who left the country for fear of Black majority rule - coming back en masse.

The status quo:
· White people have economic power.
· Black people think they have political power. Even if they have, what good is political power if it does not contribute positively to the well-being of the majority of its populace?
· Majority of Black people is very poor and the prospects do not look good.
· The current ANC government
o Is not delivering satisfactorily to its Black constituency
o Is marginalizing the white people through AA and BEE deals.
o Condones race and careless rant by its members.
o Is corrupt and morally compromised.
o Is gradually alienating its supporters
o Undermines the Constitution
o Thinks and acts like the Mob.
o Is largely in denial (clueless, maybe).
· The Afrikaners are restive (this is huge)

The reaction (as I see it)
The poor will become restless and may revolt in one way or the other.
Abahlali base Mjondolo could garner lot more support
Violent protests may undermine whatever little bit the government tries to deliver
Crime rates will soar (and indication of desperation and poverty)
The Afrikaners will engage in their own ‘struggles’ and protests
If the article by Stanley Uys is anything to go by, they are mobilizing already.
They will get sympathy from those (of all races) who feel marginalized.
Economically speaking, their soft protests (such as withholding rates payments and other things) could have a crippling effect.

The consequence
Anarchy
Unless the ANC gets on top of things, Zuma (if he gets a another term) may just as well be the last of the ANC presidents.
Yes, the ANC could face demise, as we say in colloquial terms; Jesus Christ would have come back.

Imagine the impact of returning white exiles joining their comrades in the struggle against perceived marginalization. Remember, the ANC is gradually dismantling the unity Black people enjoyed under the vanguard of Black Consciousness once upon a time; so the Afrikaners will encounter no resistance from the poor Black majority - if anything they will have their support because the struggle will not be along racial lines but will be class-based.

Am I dreaming? Don’t hold your breath!

The big question is: “In whose interest is the current ANC working?”

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